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هل سيحدت ركود اقتصادي في العالم بسبب قرارات ترامب؟.. بنوك ووكالة تصنيف ائتماني يجيبون

هل سيحدت ركود  اقتصادي في العالم بسبب قرارات ترامب؟.. بنوك ووكالة تصنيف ائتماني يجيبون

صحيفة المرصد - وكالات: رفع بنك الاستثمار "جيه.بي مورجان" احتمالات حدوث ركود في الولايات المتحدة والعالم إلى 60 بالمئة وسارعت شركات وساطة إلى مراجعة نماذج توقعاتها في الوقت الذي تهدد فيه التعريفات الجمركية بتقويض ثقة الشركات وإبطاء النمو العالمي.

وقال البنك،" إنه يتوقع الآن فرصة بنسبة 60 بالمئة لدخول الاقتصاد العالمي في حالة ركود بحلول نهاية العام، ارتفاعا من 40 في المئة في السابق.

وأفاد في مذكرة: "السياسات الأمريكية المثيرة للارتباك هي أكبر خطر على التوقعات العالمية طوال العام"، مضيفا أن السياسة التجارية للبلاد أصبحت أقل ملاءمة للأعمال مما هو متوقع.

ورفعت وكالة التصنيف الائتماني "ستاندرد آند بورز جلوبال" أيضا توقعاتها "الذاتية" لحدوث ركود اقتصادي في الولايات المتحدة إلى ما بين 30 بالمئة و35 بالمئة، مقارنة بنسبة 25 بالمئة في مارس.

وذكرت مجموعة "إتش.إس.بي.سي" الخميس إن رواية الركود ستكتسب زخما، لكنها أضافت أن قدرا من هذه الرواية "موضوع في الاعتبار في التسعير" بالفعل.

وكانت إدارة الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب فرضت رسوما جمركية على عشرات الدول في وقت سابق من هذا الأسبوع. وردت الصين اليوم الجمعة بفرض رسوم جمركية على سلع أميركية، مما زاد من مخاوف تصاعد الحرب التجارية وتسبب في حالة من الفوضى في الأسواق المالية العالمية.

التعليقات (44)

التعليقات مغلقة

SettingsRequest history319msRequest Duration47MBMemory Usage10.x
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10.48.28
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    • Booting (143ms)time
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    • View: web.singleviews
    • View: web.components.structured-dataviews
    • View: web.components.dateviews
    • View: web.components.social-sharingviews
    • View: components.smart-ad-componentviews
    • View: components.smart-ad-componentviews
    • View: web.layouts.masterviews
    • View: web.layouts.headerviews
    • View: web.layouts.footerviews
    • 1 x Application (55.14%)
      176ms
      1 x Booting (44.86%)
      143ms
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        Backtrace
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Route.php:205
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Controller.php:54
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Controller.php:54
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        Backtrace
        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:424
        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:435
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:72
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        Backtrace
        • app/View/Components/SmartAdComponent.php:34
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Component.php:135
        • view::web.single:278
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
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        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:308
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:72
      • SmartAdComponent.php#34new_main470μsselect * from `smart_ads` where `slug` = '1st-MPU-Desktop' limit 1
        Bindings
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        Backtrace
        • app/View/Components/SmartAdComponent.php:34
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Component.php:135
        • view::web.single:680
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
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        Backtrace
        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:308
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
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        • vendor/livewire/livewire/src/ComponentConcerns/RendersLivewireComponents.php:69
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:72
      • helpers.php#308new_main390μsselect * from `smart_ads` where `slug` = '5th-MPU-Desktop' limit 1
        Bindings
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        Backtrace
        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:308
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
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        Backtrace
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/Repository.php:396
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/CacheManager.php:429
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
      • header.blade.php#101new_main400μsselect * from `settings` where `name` = 'show_matches_section_sport' limit 1
        Bindings
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        Backtrace
        • view::web.layouts.header:101
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/Repository.php:396
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/CacheManager.php:429
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
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        Backtrace
        • view::web.layouts.header:119
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/Repository.php:396
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/CacheManager.php:429
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        Backtrace
        • view::web.layouts.header:122
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/Repository.php:396
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/CacheManager.php:429
        • view::web.layouts.header:123
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        Backtrace
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/Repository.php:396
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        Backtrace
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/Repository.php:396
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cache/CacheManager.php:429
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        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
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        Backtrace
        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:308
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
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        Backtrace
        • app/Helpers/helpers.php:308
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Filesystem/Filesystem.php:124
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/PhpEngine.php:58
        • vendor/livewire/livewire/src/ComponentConcerns/RendersLivewireComponents.php:69
        • vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:72
      App\Models\SmartAd
      4SmartAd.php#?
      App\Models\Section
      2Section.php#?
      App\Models\Article
      1Article.php#?
      App\Models\Author
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